Verdict
Winnable — appeal with evidence
The outcome turns on documentation. Appeal by matching the payer's own published criteria and attaching the exact evidence those criteria name.
The most winnable denial family — when the clinical record actually contains the payer's published threshold findings. Appeal by quoting the payer's own clinical policy and attaching the exact evidence it names (6-point charting, dated radiographs, photos). If the chart never captured those findings, the fix is submission-time documentation on future claims, not this appeal.